Show-Me State Times

A recent report released by the University of Missouri’s Rural and Farm Finance Policy Analysis Center (RaFF) has projected a decline in net farm income for the Show-Me State in the upcoming springtime season.

According to Scott Brown, the RaFF interim director, the projected decrease in net farm income for 2024 in Missouri is estimated to be around $0.8 billion. Brown highlighted that factors such as reduced livestock inventories and lower crop prices are contributing to the projected decline in farm receipts for the state.

The report indicates that Missouri's net farm income is expected to drop by 18% in 2024, compared to a projected 25.5% decrease in U.S. net farm income. Specific projections from the spring 2024 Missouri Farm Income Outlook include a forecasted 11% decline in crop receipts, with changes in planted area shifting towards fewer corn acres but more soybean acres. Additionally, livestock receipts are projected to decrease by 9% in 2024, with potential recovery in cattle and hog cash receipts anticipated for 2025.

Despite the overall projected decrease in farm income, the report forecasts a 5% decrease in production expenses for 2024, driven by lower costs for fertilizer, feed, and fuel. However, expenses for purchased livestock, seed, labor, taxes, and capital consumption are expected to continue increasing.

Looking forward, the report suggests that Missouri's net farm income is likely to see an increase in 2025 and 2026. The Missouri Farm Income Outlook is part of a series of state-level farm income analyses published by RaFF this spring, in collaboration with institutions in Arkansas, Kansas, Nebraska, and Texas.

Scott Brown emphasized the importance of these farm income projections in aiding policymakers, stakeholders, and producers in making informed decisions based on the financial outlook for the agricultural sector.